The Book of Mike

"This is no junior college. This is the notorious University of Miami.” -- Marlins starter Dontrelle Willis, after getting knocked around for six runs in 2 1/3 innings by the Canes.

Friday, March 25, 2005

BP: Josh Beckett Primed for Breakout Year in 2005

To expect a former World Series MVP to have a breakout season is a tall order. But Marlins' fireballer Josh Beckett, who doesn't turn 25 until mid-May owns only a .500 record (26 - 26) in the regular season.

At his young age he does have three full major league campaigns under his belt, but he's also never won more than 9 games or thrown more than 156 innings. The talent is definitely there. There have been flashes of brilliance in the regular season and throughout the 2003 post-season. Beckett hasn't been able to put it together yet for a full major league regular season though. If he does, you could be looking at Cy Young Award caliber stuff.

Baseball Prospectus' sophisticated PECOTA forecasting system pegs Beckett as the major leaguer most likely to have a breakout year this season. If they're right that will be huge for the Marlins.

Now if they can just keep his blisters under control.


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